Development of a simulation model for the spread of COVID-19 coronavirus infection in Kaluga region

The development of the situation around Covid-19 is an urgent problem for whole world, and it still not known exactly how pandemic will develop. However, based on data virus spread to date, possible model approximate outcome activities humanity in fight against Covid-19. To develop this model, we used a simulation tool-AnyLogic (Personal Learning Edition) with support Java programming language. This software has large analytical functionality. When creating infection free version program was used. only relevant if continues at same pace. There are many factors that can deviate from presented any direction: early release restrictive measures, mutations, forced vaccination population, other measures directly affect main indicators development. In process modelling coronavirus Kaluga region, results were obtained reflect rate pandemic. Thus, identify weaknesses viruses further minimize disease.